5 <p>I'm starting to crank out detailed analysis of the results from yesterday's exit poll, and one of the most interesting tidbits is this: 68% percent of the black voters in our survey supported Quinn.&nbsp;</p> <p>Meanwhile, 55% of white voters cast ballots for the incumbent gov.&nbsp;</p> <p>With the race within a few thousand votes and just a handful of precincts left to be counted in Chicago and Cook County, stuff like this makes a difference.&nbsp;</p> <p>If the uncounted precincts are in minority neighborhoods, expect Quinn to win. Vice versa and Hynes may well snag the nomination.&nbsp;</p> <p>I'll post the crosstab in a second, as soon as I figure out how to get our stats software (R) to make some nice html tables.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>update: here's the table</strong></p> <table class="dataframe" border="0"> <tbody> <tr class="firstline"> <th>&nbsp;</th><th>Asian</th><th>Black</th><th>Hispanic</th><th>Other</th><th>White</th> </tr> <tr> <td class="firstcolumn">None</td> <td class="cellinside">0.500</td> <td class="cellinside">0.000</td> <td class="cellinside">0.000</td> <td class="cellinside">0.000</td> <td class="cellinside">0.057</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="firstcolumn">Daniel W. Hynes</td> <td class="cellinside">0.000</td> <td class="cellinside">0.318</td> <td class="cellinside">0.000</td> <td class="cellinside">1.000</td> <td class="cellinside">0.396</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="firstcolumn">Pat Quinn</td> <td class="cellinside">0.500</td> <td class="cellinside">0.682</td> <td class="cellinside">1.000</td> <td class="cellinside">0.000</td> <td class="cellinside">0.547</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> 2010-02-03T12:27:00-06:00 2 31067 1 33 1 QuinnsblacksupportinCookcouldtipthegovernorsrace 1 1 176